Re: Where's the Shovelware
A quantification of coding agent shipping ability.
The most interesting thing about these charts is what they’re not showing. They’re not showing a sudden spike or hockey-stick line of growth. They’re flat at best. There’s no shovelware surge. There’s no sudden indie boom occurring post-2022/2023. You could not tell looking at these charts when AI-assisted coding became widely adopted. The core premise is flawed. Nobody is shipping more than before.
I love this approach at quantifying such a fuzzy question. I don't think it's the final word on the subject, but it's certainly interesting data. Specifically this doesn't test corporate code production or private repos, but I do think the "shovelware" test against published apps or new domain names is significant.